Today / Ukraine - Persha Liga / Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava

Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Vorskla Poltava

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.1%0-113.4%0-24.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.4%1-112.3%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.9%2-15.7%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.7%3-11.7%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% 44.4% 2.25 -7.5%

Draw 34.3% 36.4% 2.75 -5.7%

Away win 24.6% 33.3% 3.00 -15.7%

Over 2.5 35.0% 41.5% 2.41 -15.7%

Over 3.5 7.3% 21.7% 4.60 -39.9%

BTTS 46.2% 50.0% 2.00 -7.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.1%

#2 1–0 19.4%

#3 1–1✓ 12.3%

#4 0–1 13.4%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nyva Ternopil0.9

Vorskla Poltava0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 7.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.14

VORSKLA POLTAVA · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Nyva Ternopil (H) 41.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -7.5%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -5.7%

Vorskla Poltava (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nyva Ternopil face Vorskla Poltava in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nyva Ternopil a 41% chance, the draw 34% and Vorskla Poltava 25%, so Nyva Ternopil are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Nyva Ternopil and 0.6 for Vorskla Poltava (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nyva Ternopil are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.71 for Vorskla Poltava. This match finished 1-1.

Nyva Ternopil vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Persha Liga Predictions