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Bukovyna vs Chornomorets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00

Bukovyna

PPG 2.71 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Chornomorets

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=52.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-17.5%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.1%1-111.6%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.4%2-18.9%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.4%3-14.6%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-12.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 19.2% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.6%

H 52% / xG 1.5-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 11.6%

#3 2–0 12.4%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bukovyna1.5

Chornomorets0.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BUKOVYNA · PPG 2.71

CHORNOMORETS · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=52.3%

Win probability 1X2

Bukovyna (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chornomorets (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bukovyna face Chornomorets in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bukovyna a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Chornomorets 22%, so Bukovyna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bukovyna and 0.7 for Chornomorets (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bukovyna are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.86 for Chornomorets. This match finished 1-3.

Bukovyna vs Chornomorets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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