Today / Ukraine - Persha Liga / Viktoriya M. vs P. Horodenka

Viktoriya M. vs P. Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 08:00

Viktoriya M.

PPG 1.64 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

P. Horodenka

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-110.4%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.5%1-113.0%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-18.1%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.4%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 24.3% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.9% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 47% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.4%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1✓ 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Viktoriya M.1.3

P. Horodenka0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKTORIYA M. · PPG 1.64

P. HORODENKA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Viktoriya M. (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

P. Horodenka (A) 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Viktoriya M. face P. Horodenka in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Viktoriya M. a 47% chance, the draw 29% and P. Horodenka 24%, so Viktoriya M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Viktoriya M. and 0.8 for P. Horodenka (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Viktoriya M. are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.00 for P. Horodenka. This match finished 0-1.

Viktoriya M. vs P. Horodenka Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ukraine - Persha Liga Predictions