Marine vs Alfreton Town Prediction— England - National League - North

Match Preview & Prediction

Marine face Alfreton Town in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marine a 60% chance, the draw 22% and Alfreton Town 18%, so Marine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Marine and 1.0 for Alfreton Town (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marine are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.68 for Alfreton Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.2%. This match finished 2-3.