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Leamington vs Kidderminster Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North logo England flag England - National League - North North - 45 Your Co-op Community Stadium· Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Leamington logo Leamington PPG 0.82
2-3 MISS
Kidderminster logo Kidderminster PPG 1.59
Home· +30.6% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Leamington face Kidderminster in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leamington a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Kidderminster 66%, so Kidderminster are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Leamington and 1.9 for Kidderminster (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leamington are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.59 for Kidderminster. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.6%. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.4%
Odds: 9.75 EV: +30.6%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 4.75 EV: -1.2%
Away 65.9%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -15.7%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.2% Odds: 1.62 -18.7%
Over 3.5 28.2% Odds: 2.50 -29.5%
BTTS 44.7% Odds: 1.95 -12.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Leamington
0.74
Kidderminster
1.94

Model Suggestion

Away -15.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -15.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+30.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 66%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 31%
ROI 5.4%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.59) vs Home POOR (0.82)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org