Hereford Utd vs Radcliffe Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North North - 45 Edgar Street· Hereford Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Hereford Utd PPG 1.20

3-1 MISS

Radcliffe PPG 1.27

Away· +20.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hereford Utd face Radcliffe in England - National League - North on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hereford Utd a 37% chance, the draw 21% and Radcliffe 42%, so Radcliffe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hereford Utd and 2.0 for Radcliffe (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hereford Utd are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.27 for Radcliffe. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.9%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -24.4%

Draw 21.3%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -18.0%

Away 41.8%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +20.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.0% Odds: 1.45 +5.9%

Over 3.5 52.5% Odds: 2.20 +15.5%

BTTS 72.2% Odds: 1.42 +2.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hereford Utd

1.83

Radcliffe

1.96

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+20.4%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 5.4%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.27)