Stirling vs Bayswater Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00

Stirling PPG 1.20

1-2 HIT CS2

Bayswater PPG 0.75

Over3.5· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.8%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -6.9%

Draw 24.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -7.5%

Away 36.9%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -12.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.40 -10.5%

Over 3.5 55.1% Odds: 1.91 +5.2%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.36 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✔

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Stirling

1.95

Bayswater

1.97

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -10.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.20) > Away POOR (0.75)