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Australia - Western Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00
Fremantle City logo Fremantle City PPG 1.00
4-3 MISS
Perth Glory B logo Perth Glory B PPG 0.86
Home· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.8%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +14.9%
Draw 23.1%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -12.9%
Away 35.1%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -22.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%
Over 3.5 45.4% Odds: 2.10 -4.7%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.40 -12.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Fremantle City
1.78
Perth Glory B
1.67

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+14.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.86)

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