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Australia - Western Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Western Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 23, 2026 07:00
Dianella WE logo Dianella WE PPG 1.00
2-2 HIT CS2
Armadale logo Armadale PPG 0.17
Over3.5· +16.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.1%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +1.6%
Draw 22.8%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -6.7%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -16.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.33 -7.2%
Over 3.5 64.7% Odds: 1.80 +16.5%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.33 -11.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 1-1
4th 3-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dianella WE
2.62
Armadale
1.82

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 76%
BTTS/No 83%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -13.6%
Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs P(Home)=52.1%

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