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Australia - Tasmania NPL
Regular Season - 9
Birch Avenue
Saturday, May 23, 2026
06:45
Launceston Utd
PPG 0.00
0-4
MISS
Glenorchy K.
PPG 0.00
Home· +162.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
26.5%
Odds: 14.00
EV: +162.6%
Draw
22.0%
Odds: 7.25
EV: +35.7%
Away
51.5%
Odds: 1.10
EV: -43.4%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.17
-25.2%
Over 3.5
60.3%
Odds: 1.43
-13.8%
BTTS
63.0%
Odds: 1.65
+4.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-2
✘
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
1-3
✘
4th
2-2
✘
5th
2-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Launceston Utd
1.66
Glenorchy K.
2.54
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-25.2%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-25.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40%
NEUTRAL
No PPG data