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Australia - Northern NSW NPL
Saturday, May 23, 2026
06:30
Valentine
PPG 0.20
VS
PENDING
Broadmeadow
PPG 2.50
Draw· +17.4%
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
9.2%
Odds: 11.00
EV: +0.7%
Draw
21.5%
Odds: 6.00
EV: +17.4%
Away
69.3%
Odds: 1.20
EV: -16.8%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
75.8%
Odds: 1.28
-3.0%
Over 3.5
70.1%
Odds: 1.62
+13.6%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.62
-11.6%
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-3
2nd
0-4
3rd
1-3
4th
1-4
5th
0-2
Expected Goals (xG)
Valentine
0.87
Broadmeadow
3.90
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-3.0%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-3.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.20)