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Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Saturday, May 23, 2026, 06:30

Edgeworth E.

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lambton Jaffas

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-14.5%0-24.2%0-32.7%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.4%1-18.3%1-27.9%1-35.0%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.5%3-14.7%3-24.5%3-32.8%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.3%4+-23.2%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% 36.4% 2.75 +2.9%

Draw 24.9% 27.8% 3.60 -6.2%

Away win 37.7% 47.6% 2.10 -20.8%

Over 2.5 63.9% 66.7% 1.50 -4.2%

Over 3.5 51.6% 50.5% 1.98 +2.2%

BTTS 63.0% 73.5% 1.36 -14.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.0%

A 38% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Edgeworth E.1.8

Lambton Jaffas1.9

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EDGEWORTH E. · PPG 3.00

LAMBTON JAFFAS · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Edgeworth E. (H) 37.4%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +2.9%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.2%

Lambton Jaffas (A) 37.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Edgeworth E. face Lambton Jaffas in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Edgeworth E. a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Lambton Jaffas 38%, so Lambton Jaffas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Edgeworth E. and 1.9 for Lambton Jaffas (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Edgeworth E. are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Lambton Jaffas. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.9%.

Edgeworth E. vs Lambton Jaffas Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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