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Australia - Northern NSW NPL
Regular Season - 13
Saturday, May 23, 2026
06:30
Edgeworth E.
PPG 3.00
VS
PENDING
Lambton Jaffas
PPG 2.25
Home· +2.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.4%
Odds: 2.75
EV: +2.9%
Draw
24.9%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -6.2%
Away
37.7%
Odds: 2.10
EV: -20.8%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
63.9%
Odds: 1.50
-4.2%
Over 3.5
51.6%
Odds: 1.98
+2.2%
BTTS
63.0%
Odds: 1.36
-14.3%
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
2nd
1-2
3rd
2-1
4th
2-2
5th
1-3
Expected Goals (xG)
Edgeworth E.
1.85
Lambton Jaffas
1.90
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-4.2%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.25)