Riverside vs South Hobart Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Tasmania NPL Regular Season - 9 Windsor Park· Launceston Saturday, May 23, 2026 04:30

Riverside PPG 2.25

1-1 MISS

South Hobart PPG 3.00

Home· +66.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.0%

Odds: 15.00 EV: +66.0%

Draw 20.4%

Odds: 7.20 EV: +28.1%

Away 65.6%

Odds: 1.09 EV: -28.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.5% Odds: 1.20 -8.2%

Over 3.5 70.3% Odds: 1.44 +1.2%

BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.70 +6.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-3 ✘

2nd 1-4 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Riverside

1.27

South Hobart

3.51

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -8.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.25)