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Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 13 Saturday, May 23, 2026 04:00
Weston Bears logo Weston Bears PPG 1.17
0-1 MISS
Maitland logo Maitland PPG 1.71
Over3.5· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.9%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -4.0%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -7.1%
Away 25.5%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -12.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.8% Odds: 1.25 -10.3%
Over 3.5 67.2% Odds: 1.59 +6.9%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.22 -18.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 3-1
4th 1-1
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Weston Bears
2.65
Maitland
1.94

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -10.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 79%
BTTS/No 71%
Score Hit 39%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 100% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.71) strong but model favors Home (P=51.9%)

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