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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 16 Estadio Municipal de la Juventud· Chongoyape Friday, May 22, 2026 20:00
Juan Pablo II logo Juan Pablo II PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
FBC Melgar logo FBC Melgar PPG 1.14
Over3.5· +49.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +4.3%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -8.8%
Away 46.3%
Odds: 1.96 EV: -9.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.6% Odds: 1.95 +24.0%
Over 3.5 44.0% Odds: 3.40 +49.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.75 +4.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Juan Pablo II
1.34
FBC Melgar
2.05

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +24.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+49.6%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

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