Drogheda Utd vs Dundalk Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 18 Weavers Park· Drogheda Friday, May 22, 2026 19:00

Drogheda Utd PPG 1.38

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Dundalk PPG 1.00

Home· +14.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +14.1%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.70 EV: -2.3%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -21.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.67 -1.3%

Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 2.70 -9.6%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Drogheda Utd

1.47

Dundalk

1.45

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+14.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)