Today / Ireland - First Division / Treaty Utd vs Cobh Ramblers

Treaty Utd vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 18:45

Treaty Utd

PPG 1.57 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.5%0-24.9%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.0%1-113.1%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.8%2-18.2%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.4%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 37.3% 2.68 +21.4%

Draw 29.1% 29.9% 3.35 -1.5%

Away win 25.7% 39.7% 2.52 -21.1%

Over 2.5 46.2% 51.3% 1.95 -9.9%

Over 3.5 17.9% 29.4% 3.40 -23.5%

BTTS 49.2% 58.8% 1.70 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 14.0%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treaty Utd1.3

Cobh Ramblers0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TREATY UTD · PPG 1.57

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.57), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Treaty Utd (H) 45.3%

ODDS 2.68 · IMPLIED 37.3% EV +21.4%

Draw 29.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.5%

Cobh Ramblers (A) 25.7%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV -21.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Treaty Utd face Cobh Ramblers in Ireland - First Division on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treaty Utd a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Cobh Ramblers 26%, so Treaty Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Treaty Utd and 0.9 for Cobh Ramblers (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treaty Utd are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.50 for Cobh Ramblers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Treaty Utd vs Cobh Ramblers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions