Kerry vs Bray Wanderers Prediction & Tips

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Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 17 Mounthawk Park· Tralee Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45

Kerry PPG 1.50

2-2 MISS

Bray Wanderers PPG 0.88

Home· +18.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: +18.6%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -2.1%

Away 36.3%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -23.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.91 -11.8%

Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.25 -22.9%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.70 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerry

1.11

Bray Wanderers

1.13

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+18.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -14.2%

Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.88)