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Ireland - First Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - First Division Regular Season - 17 Finn Park· Ballybofey Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45
Finn Harps logo Finn Harps PPG 1.50
2-2 MISS
Longford Town logo Longford Town PPG 0.88
Draw· +17.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.1%
Odds: 2.56 EV: -2.5%
Draw 35.2%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +17.9%
Away 26.6%
Odds: 2.62 EV: -18.2%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 1.93 -32.5%
Over 3.5 7.9% Odds: 3.40 -43.9%
BTTS 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Finn Harps
0.88
Longford Town
0.72

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%
O2.5/Under 43%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -14.2%
Bet Hit 33% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.88)

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