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Ireland - First Division
Regular Season - 17
Finn Park· Ballybofey
Friday, May 22, 2026
18:45
Finn Harps
PPG 1.50
2-2
MISS
Longford Town
PPG 0.88
Draw· +17.9%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
38.1%
Odds: 2.56
EV: -2.5%
Draw
35.2%
Odds: 3.35
EV: +17.9%
Away
26.6%
Odds: 2.62
EV: -18.2%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
35.0%
Odds: 1.93
-32.5%
Over 3.5
7.9%
Odds: 3.40
-43.9%
BTTS
46.2%
Odds: 1.70
-21.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Finn Harps
0.88
Longford Town
0.72
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
51%
O2.5/Under
43%
BTTS/No
43%
Score Hit
41%
ROI
-14.2%
Bet Hit
33%
(6 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.88)