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Athlone Town vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 17 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 18:45

Athlone Town

PPG 1.88 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Cork City

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-117.7%0-29.9%0-33.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.5%1-112.8%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.2%2-14.7%2-22.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.0% 19.6% 5.10 +19.6%

Draw 32.9% 27.4% 3.65 +20.1%

Away win 41.1% 59.9% 1.67 -31.4%

Over 2.5 35.0% 50.0% 2.00 -30.0%

Over 3.5 11.6% 28.2% 3.55 -35.3%

BTTS 47.8% 52.6% 1.90 -9.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.8%

A 41% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–2 9.9%

#5 1–0 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Athlone Town0.7

Cork City1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ATHLONE TOWN · PPG 1.88

CORK CITY · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.88), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Athlone Town (H) 26.0%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +19.6%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +20.1%

Cork City (A) 41.1%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -31.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Athlone Town face Cork City in Ireland - First Division on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Athlone Town a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Cork City 41%, so Cork City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Athlone Town and 1.1 for Cork City (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Athlone Town are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.71 for Cork City. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +20.1%. This match finished 0-3.

Athlone Town vs Cork City Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions