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Ireland - Premier Division logo Ireland flag Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 18 Tolka Park· Dublin Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45
Shelbourne logo Shelbourne PPG 0.50
2-1 HIT CS2
Waterford logo Waterford PPG 0.13
Away· +67.7% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.9%
Odds: 1.31 EV: -29.4%
Draw 23.7%
Odds: 4.90 EV: +9.7%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 9.50 EV: +67.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.62 -0.5%
Over 3.5 41.4% Odds: 2.55 +5.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.85 +10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Shelbourne
2.21
Waterford
1.06

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+67.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.50) > Away POOR (0.13)

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