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Ireland - Premier Division
Regular Season - 18
Tolka Park· Dublin
Friday, May 22, 2026
18:45
Shelbourne
PPG 0.50
2-1
HIT CS2
Waterford
PPG 0.13
Away· +67.7%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
53.9%
Odds: 1.31
EV: -29.4%
Draw
23.7%
Odds: 4.90
EV: +9.7%
Away
22.4%
Odds: 9.50
EV: +67.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
61.4%
Odds: 1.62
-0.5%
Over 3.5
41.4%
Odds: 2.55
+5.6%
BTTS
59.7%
Odds: 1.85
+10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✔
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
1-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne
2.21
Waterford
1.06
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-0.5%
ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market:
BTTS.
Raw EV leader:
Away(+67.7%)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.50) > Away POOR (0.13)