← Back to picks 
Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45 
Derry City PPG 1.50 
St. Patricks PPG 1.50
Ireland - Premier Division Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45 Derry City PPG 1.500-0 HIT CS2
St. Patricks PPG 1.50Over2.5· +2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.15 +2.3%
Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: 4.20 -0.3%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.83 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✔
3rd 0-1 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City 1.11
St. Patricks 1.37
Model Suggestion
BTTS -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 43 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 51%
ROI 46.6%
Bet Hit 79% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.50)