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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 38 Stadio Artemio Franchi· Florence Friday, May 22, 2026 18:45
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina PPG 1.11
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Atalanta logo Atalanta PPG 1.39
Draw· +3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.8%
Odds: 2.56 EV: -18.6%
Draw 30.1%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +3.9%
Away 38.1%
Odds: 2.56 EV: -2.5%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.70 -21.5%
Over 3.5 15.6% Odds: 2.70 -34.7%
BTTS 48.7% Odds: 1.55 -24.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina
0.93
Atalanta
1.15

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away AVERAGE (1.39)

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