Keflavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Iceland - Úrvalsdeild Regular Season - 8 Friday, May 22, 2026 18:00

Keflavik PPG 0.67

1-0 MISS

Thor Akureyri PPG 0.75

Home· +4.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.5%

Odds: 1.75 EV: +4.1%

Draw 21.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -7.8%

Away 19.3%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -18.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.33 -15.0%

Over 3.5 46.1% Odds: 1.85 -14.7%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.35 -19.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Keflavik

2.47

Thor Akureyri

1.02

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -15.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-15.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.67), Away POOR (0.75)