KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Iceland - Úrvalsdeild Regular Season - 8 Friday, May 22, 2026 18:00

KA Akureyri PPG 0.75

0-1 MISS

Valur PPG 1.50

Away· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.4%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -23.9%

Draw 23.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: -3.4%

Away 41.0%

Odds: 2.60 EV: +6.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%

Over 3.5 54.4% Odds: 1.93 +5.0%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

KA Akureyri

1.85

Valur

2.04

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.1% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.1%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.75)