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Wiener SC vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost · Matchday 32 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:30

Wiener SC

PPG 1.57 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Neusiedl

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-13.8%0-22.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-06.0%1-18.3%1-25.8%1-32.7%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.6%2-19.2%2-26.5%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.9%3-16.8%3-24.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-16.3%4+-24.4%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.9% 62.5% 1.60 -17.0%

Draw 23.7% 23.8% 4.20 -0.3%

Away win 24.4% 25.0% 4.00 -1.4%

Over 2.5 63.9% 66.7% 1.50 -4.2%

Over 3.5 48.8% 48.1% 2.08 +1.5%

BTTS 60.8% 68.0% 1.47 -10.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -47.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.8%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 3–1 6.8%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wiener SC2.2

Neusiedl1.4

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 48.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WIENER SC · PPG 1.57

NEUSIEDL · PPG 0.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=51.9%

Win probability 1X2

Wiener SC (H) 51.9%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -17.0%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -0.3%

Neusiedl (A) 24.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wiener SC face Neusiedl in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wiener SC a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Neusiedl 24%, so Wiener SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Wiener SC and 1.4 for Neusiedl (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wiener SC are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.64 for Neusiedl. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 4-0.

Wiener SC vs Neusiedl Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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