Today / Austria - Regionalliga - Ost / TWL Elektra vs Parndorf

TWL Elektra vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 32 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:30

TWL Elektra

PPG 0.14 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Parndorf

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 91.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-18.5%0-211.5%0-310.5%0-4+13.9%1 1-02.3%1-16.3%1-28.6%1-37.8%1-4+10.3%2 2-00.9%2-12.3%2-23.2%2-32.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.8%3-30.7%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.2% 5.9% 17.00 +74.6%

Draw 21.2% 10.0% 10.00 +67.2%

Away win 65.6% 91.7% 1.09 -28.5%

Over 2.5 63.9% 80.0% 1.25 -20.1%

Over 3.5 45.8% 58.1% 1.72 -21.2%

BTTS 51.6% 39.5% 2.53 +30.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob51.6%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%

#2 0–3 10.5%

#3 1–2 8.6%

#4 1–3 7.8%

#5 0–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TWL Elektra0.7

Parndorf2.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TWL ELEKTRA · PPG 0.14

PARNDORF · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home POOR (0.14)

Win probability 1X2

TWL Elektra (H) 13.2%

ODDS 17.00 · IMPLIED 5.9% EV +74.6%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 10.00 · IMPLIED 10.0% EV +67.2%

Parndorf (A) 65.6%

ODDS 1.09 · IMPLIED 91.7% EV -28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

TWL Elektra face Parndorf in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TWL Elektra a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Parndorf 66%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for TWL Elektra and 2.7 for Parndorf (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TWL Elektra are averaging 0.14 points per game versus 1.64 for Parndorf. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +74.6%. This match finished 0-5.

TWL Elektra vs Parndorf Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

More Austria - Regionalliga - Ost Predictions