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SV Horn vs Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 32 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:30

SV Horn

PPG 2.07 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Donaufeld

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-16.1%0-23.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.6%1-110.9%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.7%3-15.9%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-14.0%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 57.8% 1.73 -11.1%

Draw 24.4% 26.7% 3.75 -5.1%

Away win 24.2% 26.7% 3.75 -5.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 60.6% 1.65 -13.2%

Over 3.5 31.5% 39.7% 2.52 -20.6%

BTTS 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.4%

H 51% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SV Horn1.8

Donaufeld1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SV HORN · PPG 2.07

DONAUFELD · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

SV Horn (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -11.1%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.1%

Donaufeld (A) 24.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

SV Horn face Donaufeld in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SV Horn a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Donaufeld 24%, so SV Horn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for SV Horn and 1.0 for Donaufeld (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SV Horn are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.36 for Donaufeld. This match finished 1-2.

SV Horn vs Donaufeld Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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