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Oberwart vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 32 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:30

Oberwart

PPG 2.07 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Traiskirchen

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.2%0-22.8%0-31.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-04.1%1-17.2%1-26.3%1-33.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.7%2-18.1%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.5%3-16.1%3-25.3%3-33.1%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-15.9%4+-25.1%4+-33.0%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 59.9% 1.67 -14.2%

Draw 22.9% 23.1% 4.33 -0.5%

Away win 25.7% 27.8% 3.60 -4.5%

Over 2.5 63.9% 69.4% 1.44 -8.0%

Over 3.5 56.8% 49.0% 2.04 +15.9%

BTTS 63.0% 69.9% 1.43 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 51% / xG 2.3-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 2–1 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 3–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oberwart2.3

Traiskirchen1.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 56.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OBERWART · PPG 2.07

TRAISKIRCHEN · PPG 1.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Oberwart (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -14.2%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -0.5%

Traiskirchen (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oberwart face Traiskirchen in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oberwart a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Traiskirchen 26%, so Oberwart are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Oberwart and 1.7 for Traiskirchen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oberwart are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.57 for Traiskirchen. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.9%. This match finished 3-0.

Oberwart vs Traiskirchen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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