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Croatia - First NL Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00 
Karlovac PPG 1.75 
Jarun PPG 0.63
Croatia - First NL Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00 Karlovac PPG 1.752-1 HIT CS5
Jarun PPG 0.63Home· +25.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.25 +4.0%
Over 3.5 16.9% Odds: 3.85 -21.0%
BTTS 48.8% Odds: 1.85 -9.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Karlovac 1.30
Jarun 0.84
Model Suggestion
No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=47.8%