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Croatia - HNL Friday, May 22, 2026 16:15 
Hajduk Split PPG 2.06 
Vukovar PPG 0.41
Croatia - HNL Friday, May 22, 2026 16:15 Hajduk Split PPG 2.066-3 MISS
Vukovar PPG 0.41Away· +78.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.45 -23.7%
Over 3.5 30.3% Odds: 2.15 -34.9%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 2.00 -1.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hajduk Split 2.11
Vukovar 0.66
Model Suggestion
Home -26.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+78.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+78.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=62.5%