Wealdstone vs Scunthorpe Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 Grosvenor Vale· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Wealdstone PPG 1.73

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Scunthorpe PPG 1.77

Over3.5· +7.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wealdstone face Scunthorpe in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wealdstone a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Scunthorpe 40%, so Scunthorpe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wealdstone and 1.8 for Scunthorpe (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wealdstone are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.77 for Scunthorpe. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%

Odds: 2.55 EV: -4.1%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -22.3%

Away 40.2%

Odds: 2.38 EV: -4.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.3% Odds: 1.53 +4.5%

Over 3.5 46.8% Odds: 2.30 +7.6%

BTTS 68.6% Odds: 1.42 -2.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wealdstone

1.73

Scunthorpe

1.79

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+7.6%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.73), Away GOOD (1.77)