Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.50 -4.2%
Over 3.5 52.3% Odds: 2.20 +15.1%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.44 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -4.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-4.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value DANGER Home weakness: GOOD (1.75) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.25)