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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Friday, May 22, 2026 14:00 
Kongsvinger B PPG 1.67 
Tromso B PPG 0.33
Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Friday, May 22, 2026 14:00 Kongsvinger B PPG 1.672-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Tromso B PPG 0.33Draw· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.30 -16.9%
Over 3.5 47.4% Odds: 1.73 -18.0%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.49 -11.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✔
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger B 2.52
Tromso B 1.02
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -16.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -16.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+10.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=60.5%