Truro City vs Carlisle Utd Prediction— England - National League

Match Preview & Prediction

Truro City face Carlisle Utd in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Truro City a 17% chance, the draw 22% and Carlisle Utd 61%, so Carlisle Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Truro City and 1.9 for Carlisle Utd (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Truro City are averaging 0.95 points per game versus 1.91 for Carlisle Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.0%. This match finished 0-1.