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Hubei Istar vs C. Rongcheng B Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 11:30

Hubei Istar

PPG 2.00 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

C. Rongcheng B

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.6%0-112.0%0-23.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.0%1-112.2%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.2%2-16.2%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.6% 34.7% 2.88 +25.6%

Draw 32.6% 35.1% 2.85 -7.1%

Away win 23.8% 42.0% 2.38 -26.0%

Over 2.5 35.0% 38.2% 2.62 -8.3%

Over 3.5 8.3% 21.5% 4.65 -36.8%

BTTS 46.2% 47.6% 2.10 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 1.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob46.2%

H 44% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.6%

#2 1–0 20.0%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 12.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hubei Istar1.0

C. Rongcheng B0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 8.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HUBEI ISTAR · PPG 2.00

C. RONGCHENG B · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Hubei Istar (H) 43.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +25.6%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -7.1%

C. Rongcheng B (A) 23.8%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hubei Istar face C. Rongcheng B in China - League Two on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hubei Istar a 44% chance, the draw 33% and C. Rongcheng B 24%, so Hubei Istar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Hubei Istar and 0.6 for C. Rongcheng B (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hubei Istar are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for C. Rongcheng B. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.6%. This match finished 3-0.

Hubei Istar vs C. Rongcheng B Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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