Sutton Utd vs Altrincham Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 VBS Community Stadium· London Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Sutton Utd PPG 1.14

1-2 HIT CS5

Altrincham PPG 0.64

Away· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sutton Utd face Altrincham in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sutton Utd a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Altrincham 30%, so Sutton Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sutton Utd and 1.2 for Altrincham (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sutton Utd are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.64 for Altrincham. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.8%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -12.5%

Draw 24.5%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -11.8%

Away 29.7%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -0.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.4% Odds: 1.62 -11.9%

Over 3.5 32.1% Odds: 2.50 -19.8%

BTTS 57.0% Odds: 1.50 -14.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sutton Utd

1.61

Altrincham

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.14) > Away POOR (0.64)