Today / Australia - Western Australia NPL / Perth RedStar vs Perth SC

Perth RedStar vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 11:00

Perth RedStar

PPG 2.43 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Perth SC

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.7%0-22.4%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.5%1-18.4%1-25.4%1-32.3%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-19.5%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.5%3-17.1%3-24.6%3-32.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-16.8%4+-24.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.2% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 6.4%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 2.3-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.4%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Perth RedStar2.3

Perth SC1.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PERTH REDSTAR · PPG 2.43

PERTH SC · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.43) vs P(Home)=52.2%

Win probability 1X2

Perth RedStar (H) 52.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Perth SC (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Perth RedStar face Perth SC in Australia - Western Australia NPL on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Perth RedStar a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Perth SC 25%, so Perth RedStar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Perth RedStar and 1.3 for Perth SC (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Perth RedStar are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.50 for Perth SC. This match finished 1-1.

Perth RedStar vs Perth SC Prediction— Australia - Western Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Western Australia NPL Predictions