Solihull Moors vs Boston Utd Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 Damson Park· Solihull Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Solihull Moors PPG 1.27

0-3 MISS

Boston Utd PPG 1.32

Over3.5· +17.4% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Solihull Moors face Boston Utd in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Solihull Moors a 51% chance, the draw 22% and Boston Utd 28%, so Solihull Moors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Solihull Moors and 1.4 for Boston Utd (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Solihull Moors are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.32 for Boston Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 0-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.5%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +6.0%

Draw 21.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -25.5%

Away 27.6%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -14.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.5% Odds: 1.70 +11.3%

Over 3.5 43.5% Odds: 2.70 +17.4%

BTTS 64.9% Odds: 1.55 +0.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Solihull Moors

1.96

Boston Utd

1.41

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +11.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+17.4%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.32)