Morecambe PPG 0.82
Boreham Wood PPG 1.55Morecambe face Boreham Wood in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Morecambe a 19% chance, the draw 16% and Boreham Wood 65%, so Boreham Wood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Morecambe and 2.9 for Boreham Wood (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Morecambe are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 1.55 for Boreham Wood. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.0%. This match finished 0-3.
Based on 27 resolved predictions
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.55) vs Home POOR (0.82)