Hartlepool vs Forest Green Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 Victoria Park· Hartlepool Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Hartlepool PPG 1.48

2-1 MISS

Forest Green PPG 1.41

Draw· -3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hartlepool face Forest Green in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hartlepool a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Forest Green 42%, so Forest Green are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Hartlepool and 1.3 for Forest Green (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hartlepool are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.41 for Forest Green. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.8%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -10.6%

Draw 28.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -3.4%

Away 42.2%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -11.4%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.7% Odds: 1.67 -32.0%

Over 3.5 20.3% Odds: 2.65 -46.2%

BTTS 46.5% Odds: 1.53 -28.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hartlepool

1.03

Forest Green

1.28

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.48), Away AVERAGE (1.41)