Rustavi vs Samgurali Prediction & Tips

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 14 David Petriashvili Stadium· Tbilisi Thursday, May 21, 2026 17:00

Rustavi PPG 2.00

1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Samgurali PPG 0.67

Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Home 52.9%

Odds: 2.00 EV: +5.8%

Draw 25.1%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -14.8%

Away 22.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -16.4%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 2.00 -4.8%

Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 3.34 -11.5%

BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.75 -13.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 1-0 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Rustavi

1.75

Samgurali

0.75

Model SuggestionHome +5.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.9%