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Gateshead FC vs Woking Prediction— England - National League

Regular Season - 45 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:00

Gateshead FC

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Woking

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 58.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-19.1%0-28.4%0-35.2%0-4+3.7%1 1-05.7%1-110.6%1-29.8%1-36.0%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.3%2-16.1%2-25.7%2-33.5%2-4+2.5%3 3-01.3%3-12.4%3-22.2%3-31.4%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.8% 46.5% 2.15 -48.8%

Draw 22.7% 28.2% 3.55 -19.4%

Away win 53.5% 35.7% 2.80 +49.8%

Over 2.5 58.0% 59.9% 1.67 -3.1%

Over 3.5 35.6% 37.0% 2.70 -3.9%

BTTS 57.9% 64.5% 1.55 -10.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob57.9%

A 54% / xG 1.2-1.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–1 9.1%

#4 0–2 8.4%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gateshead FC1.2

Woking1.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.0% · O3.5 PROB 35.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GATESHEAD FC · PPG 1.00

WOKING · PPG 1.32

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.32)

Win probability 1X2

Gateshead FC (H) 23.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -48.8%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -19.4%

Woking (A) 53.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +49.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gateshead FC face Woking in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gateshead FC a 24% chance, the draw 23% and Woking 54%, so Woking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gateshead FC and 1.9 for Woking (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gateshead FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.32 for Woking. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +49.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Gateshead FC vs Woking Prediction— England - National League

Match Preview & Prediction

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