Detroit City vs Miami FC Prediction & Tips

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USA - USL Championship Wednesday, May 20, 2026 23:30

Detroit City PPG 3.00

2-1 HIT CS5

Miami FC PPG 1.20

Away· +7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -20.2%

Draw 27.1%

Odds: 3.75 EV: +1.0%

Away 21.4%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +7.4%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 1.77 -22.3%

Over 3.5 14.6% Odds: 2.95 -34.2%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.77 -14.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Detroit City

1.37

Miami FC

0.65

Model SuggestionHome -20.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.8%

Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=51.5%