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Jedinstvo vs Jezero Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 18:00

Jedinstvo

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Jezero

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-115.8%0-27.7%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.8%2-15.6%2-22.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.6%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.6% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 35.7% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.1% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.6%

D 33% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.8%

#4 1–0 13.8%

#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo0.8

Jezero1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO · PPG 1.00

JEZERO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo (H) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jezero (A) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo face Jezero in Montenegro - First League on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo a 32% chance, the draw 33% and Jezero 36%, so Jezero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Jedinstvo and 1.0 for Jezero (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Jezero. This match finished 2-0.

Jedinstvo vs Jezero Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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