Arsenal Tivat vs Mladost DG Prediction & Tips

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Montenegro - First League Regular Season - 36 Stadion u Parku· Tivat Sunday, May 24, 2026 18:00

Arsenal Tivat PPG 1.59

1-4 MISS

Mladost DG PPG 0.94

Home· +127.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.5%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +127.5%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +1.3%

Away 26.1%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -36.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.08 -3.9%

Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: 3.34 -21.1%

BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.95 +0.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Arsenal Tivat

1.28

Mladost DG

0.98

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +0.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+127.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away POOR (0.94)