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Buducnost vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 20, 2026, 18:00

Buducnost

PPG 1.53 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Bokelj

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.7%0-112.1%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.8%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.5%2-16.9%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.4%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 23.9% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 10.7% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.2%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.7%

#2 1–0 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Buducnost1.1

Bokelj0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDUCNOST · PPG 1.53

BOKELJ · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Buducnost (H) 43.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bokelj (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Buducnost face Bokelj in Montenegro - First League on Wednesday, May 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Buducnost a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Bokelj 24%, so Buducnost are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Buducnost and 0.7 for Bokelj (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Buducnost are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.00 for Bokelj. This match finished 2-1.

Buducnost vs Bokelj Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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