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Petrovac vs Buducnost Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 18:00

Petrovac

PPG 1.76 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Buducnost

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-111.9%0-24.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.6%2-17.0%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.5%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 50.0% 2.00 -13.4%

Draw 32.8% 33.3% 3.00 -1.6%

Away win 23.9% 27.8% 3.60 -8.4%

Over 2.5 35.0% 42.0% 2.38 -16.7%

Over 3.5 11.1% 22.5% 4.45 -30.4%

BTTS 46.6% 50.0% 2.00 -6.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.6%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 1–0 17.7%

#3 1–1✓ 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Petrovac1.1

Buducnost0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PETROVAC · PPG 1.76

BUDUCNOST · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.76) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Petrovac (H) 43.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -13.4%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -1.6%

Buducnost (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Petrovac face Buducnost in Montenegro - First League on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Petrovac a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Buducnost 24%, so Petrovac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Petrovac and 0.7 for Buducnost (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Petrovac are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 1.06 for Buducnost. This match finished 1-1.

Petrovac vs Buducnost Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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