Brackley Town vs Aldershot Town Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Regular Season - 45 St James Park· Brackley Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Brackley Town PPG 1.14

2-1 HIT CS4

Aldershot Town PPG 1.14

Away· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Brackley Town face Aldershot Town in England - National League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brackley Town a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Aldershot Town 45%, so Aldershot Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Brackley Town and 1.6 for Aldershot Town (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brackley Town are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Aldershot Town. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.8%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -13.8%

Draw 24.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -15.1%

Away 44.7%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -1.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.8% Odds: 1.67 -8.5%

Over 3.5 32.5% Odds: 2.70 -12.3%

BTTS 57.6% Odds: 1.53 -11.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Brackley Town

1.28

Aldershot Town

1.59

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.14)