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Norway - Eliteserien logo Norway flag Norway - Eliteserien Regular Season - 2 Åråsen· Lillestrøm Wednesday, May 20, 2026 17:00
Lillestrom logo Lillestrom PPG 2.25
1-2 MISS
Kristiansund logo Kristiansund PPG 0.25
Draw· +11.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.3%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -10.0%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +11.3%
Away 12.5%
Odds: 6.00 EV: -15.0%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.4% Odds: 1.38 -31.8%
Over 3.5 25.7% Odds: 1.95 -29.9%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.50 -27.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lillestrom
2.02
Kristiansund
0.54

Model Suggestion

Home -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=64.3%

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