Norway - EliteserienRegular Season - 2Åråsen· LillestrømWednesday, May 20, 202617:00
LillestromPPG 2.25
1-2MISS
KristiansundPPG 0.25
Draw· +11.3%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home64.3%
Odds: 1.40EV: -10.0%
Draw23.3%
Odds: 5.10EV: +11.3%
Away12.5%
Odds: 6.00EV: -15.0%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.549.4%Odds: 1.38-31.8%
Over 3.525.7%Odds: 1.95-29.9%
BTTS48.6%Odds: 1.50-27.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✘
2nd1-0✘
3rd3-0✘
4th1-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lillestrom
2.02
Kristiansund
0.54
Model Suggestion
Home-10.0%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Draw (+11.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=64.3%